Tuesday, August 15, 2017

COULD THERE BE ANOTHER CIVIL WAR? What happens when the President as Commander-in-Chief is not reputable?

During the U.S. Civil War, the country was split into two clear sides, separated by a line between slave state and free state.  The Mason-Dixon line ran across the northern border of Maryland and down between Delaware and Virginia.  It ran to the southern border of Ohio and through parts of Kentucky until it wound it's way over Missouri, the state that was 'compromised', which began the whole ordeal culminating in Harper's Ferry and the eventual war.

After Trump's statements today, one can only start guessing as to what would happen to our armed services if and when the actual Commander-in-Chief gives an order that they morally cannot abide by.  Already the disagreements with our land's highest officer have seen states refuse to obey his Presidential directives. We have had senators threaten that should the President exercise his right to fire the Attorney General or the Independent Investigator, there would be a price to pay.

But what happens if the country truly splits again and we head toward a possible armed conflict.  As of today, there was an article stating that there is over a thirty (30) percent chance that a conflict of some kind could take place within our borders.  The time frame isn't given, but should such a skirmish arise there is a massive conundrum that would exist in our armed services.

Our armed services, and the hierarchy in place, is designed for success and efficiency during wartime activites.  Orders travel down the chain quickly and without question.

What happens if the generals no longer believe their commander is giving an order they can follow?  Or even must follow?  What if they consider it immoral?  In recent years this was unthinkable.  But now, after witnessing the divides within this government at some of the highest levels, and comments coming from fringe commentators like Newt Gingrich that we're in a cultural civil war already, what happens if the country divides?

What kind of conflict would we be speaking about?  Based on the electoral map, the divide this time would be more likely along the coasts, except for maybe Texas, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Florida, with rural Georgia following suit but Atlanta rebelling against its own farming communities.  Major cities in many southern states would find largess in their numbers but surrounded by people who likely are on the other side politically.

Many of our soldiers are minorities and poorer people who have used the G.I. Bill as a way to get educated and out of poverty.  Will the army follow orders to move against a major city that opposes this current commander?  What happens if they decide not to?  Will they themselves be cast out, or find themselves in a war with their own officers?

And it may not be just this commander, because already the precedent is being set by Donald Trump that the President be disrespected and even ignored by a large portion of his own administration and certainly, it would appear soon, by Congress; a Congress his party holds by majority vote.  This level of disrespect, should it transpose itself into a military chain of command, could be disastrous.

What's going on in this country right now is unprecedented since the 1860's, and we would all be wise to consider where this administration might take us, or worse, might take the Office of the Presidency itself.  Because if the President becomes just another guy we may or may want to listen to, then our country could fall into complete disarray, with our citizens completely unsure of who they should listen to.  And considering this President's absolute talent for blurring the lines between who is right and wrong, truth and untruth, the next President or the one thereafter could face a populace who is no longer certain where that line is.

Perhaps someone more historically educated than me can sound off here on any precedents from the U.S. in preceding administrations, or on what the Constitution and our laws say about a situation from an unsuitable commander should he not be impeached.

For me, I knew what was coming with Trump was bad, but I had not ever considered these ramifications until today.  Coups happen this way.  Anarchy and longstanding turmoil occurs, the kind of which is still happening among clans in Afghanistan, Sunnis and Shia in Iraq, Turks and Kurds, etc.

I have two children that I am raising in a country that is on the verge of losing its identity sooner than later.  It would all serve us well to stay informed, read our history carefully and make sure, that we never, ever let this kind of thing come to pass.  For we don't know what will be on the other side.  It might be a country we no longer recognize.



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